One of Alberta University’s newest researchers has made some startling predictions that she indicates could be conservative.
“By 2100, at least 50 per cent of the boreal upland mixed wood forest could become young deciduous forest and grassland, based on a combination of changes in climate and wildfire,” said Diana Stralberg in a paper released by the university. The summary is called, “Alberta’s boreal forest could be dramatically altered by 2100 due to climate change.” It was also carried by Science Daily.
“Although fire is a natural component of this ecosystem, the irreversible loss of old forest could have detrimental effects on many species, including many resident and migratory songbirds. The dry climate of the western boreal region makes it particularly vulnerable to climate change.” She also said, “existing trees will continue to provide fuel for large fires for several decades.”
“In order to anticipate and adapt to climate change, land managers must better understand how landscapes are likely to change in the future. And, while not a crystal ball, models like this one make it possible to glimpse into the future and plan for a range of potential outcomes.”